This is David Easton for Betting Radio having a look at the new market that we've got now that Joe Biden has pulled out of the US presidential election. This is something which has really not been a shock coming, but it was actually a bit of a shock when he did it because he didn't tell anyone, he was going to tweet that he was going to pull out of the race. And also no one really thought if he was going to nominate a successor and he really has done that.
And that means that Kamala Harris, the vice president is very much and was always going to be really the top of the market at around 1.15, very short indeed, very easy to turn that ticket around and make it look as though as it would be in any presidential race. If the president had died or pulled out due to ill health, that is what would have happened in any point in this presidency Kamala Harris would have taken over. However, we do have the Democratic Congress convention in the next few weeks and you can just imagine that there would be one, two, three, four people really vying for the nomination and it can be done, it can be turned around, it doesn't seem to be any way that it can be blocked from just being Kamala Harris.
And so we do have some other runners and riders as well. Clearly Kamala Harris is top of the market and is definitely favourite to be the presidential nominee. However, in the background we have Gavin Newsom, the governor of California, a younger white man, I think that does make a real difference in the US presidential election and a man who could in a one-on-one with President Trump really go hand-to-hand in a debate.
Not saying Kamala Harris couldn't do that, I do think Trump would be very, very wary of Kamala Harris in a debate. However, Gavin Newsom does have that kind of all-American boy look, the shining teeth, that kind of thing. And so him as second bravest out of very long odds around 25 to 1 is in there for good reason.
Very popular in California, a Democratic governor of California, hasn't been one for a while and is very popular indeed. Then there's some interesting women in the And you have Michelle Obama who, by all accounts, does not want to run but would be a hugely popular person to be put forward as, kind of from left field really, following on from incredible work as first lady and just an all-round brilliant human being. That would be a really interesting contest against President Trump and a real gamble for Michelle Obama.
Does she really want to do that? Does she want to step away from all the work that she does? And does she want to take on the job that's really made her husband go grey over several years? It's possible. She's in the market for a reason. She is a huge, huge figure in American culture, American life, never mind American politics.
But is the politics there behind whatever she might be able to put up? I think it is. But would she want to turn it around so quickly and is it a job for next time? Is it a job for any time for Michelle Obama? I'm not so sure. Next up is Hillary Clinton to go again.
She did feel the presidency was stolen from her and very probably was but I think that would be a really difficult race for Hillary Clinton to win versus Donald Trump and I think that a lot of people in the US would find it as difficult a decision as it would be between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. So Newsom and Obama are there. Very, very long odds are people like Gretchen Whitmer and Josh Shapiro probably not worth putting your money on but there may well be a dark horse in the background.
However, it does seem as the market shows you that Kamala Harris is very much the favourite for this. It'd be interesting to see who her running mate will be, who she chooses as a vice presidential running mate. The top of the mark is Kamala Harris but I'd say if you're going to look for a wide outside bet, it's not that wide because second in the race, Gavin Newsom could have a very good democratic convention and that 25-1 at the moment could look very, very silly in a couple of weeks time.
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