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EFL Betting Preview with Matt Jones - Saturday 2nd December 2023

EFL Betting Preview with Matt Jones - Saturday 2nd December 2023

EFL Betting Preview with Matt Jones - Saturday 2nd December 2023

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00:00 / 04:57

I'm having a look at the EFL fixtures this weekend. Not a great deal of them to go off, actually, because of course the FA Cup takes centre stage for those in Leagues 1 and League 2. That means there's actually only one League One fixture this weekend.

Northampton, against Portsmouth on Saturday, but there's loads of action in the Championship and there's some really interesting games to get our teeth into as well. So let's start with Ipswich against Coventry City and I'm going for Ipswich to win this one. They may have only won two of their last six matches the Tractor Boys, but those two wins have both been at home 3-2 against Swansea and 3-1 against Millwall. And in fact they've won eight of their nine home league games since returning to the Championship. Their only defeat came against Leeds United. That was way back in August. They have the best home record in the division, Portman Road very much a fortress for them this season, and they've scored in at least three goals in eight successive home league games, that home record is utterly, utterly formidable. They take on a Coventry side who have only won two of their last nine away matches. 5 defeats during that period, and the two most recent victories came against QPR and Millwall. Both of those sides are struggling at the wrong end of the table.

Yes Coventry are unbeaten in three at the moment, so maybe beginning to find a bit of form that fired them into the playoffs last year. But Mark Robbins side before that three-game unbeaten run had lost four in a row, so a home win to Ipswich in this one. I'm also going for a home win for Birmingham as they take on Rotherham now. Things have not all gone Wayne Rooney's way since he replaced John Eustace at Saint Andrews. In fact, they've only got one win under the former Everton man, and that came against Sheffield Wednesday, who are struggling at the wrong end of the table, but their home record over the course of the season has generally been pretty good, only lost one of their last seven at home. That came against Hull. Otherwise it's won three and drawn 3 and they are unbeaten in their last four at Saint Andrews against Rotherham.

As for Rotherham, where they travel to Birmingham with Wayne Carlisle now in charge, he's taking the reins after Matt Taylor was sacked, Matt Taylor, by the way, has gone and got the Bristol Rovers jobs at best of luck to him on that move.

But As for Rotherham, it's a big job for Wayne Carlisle to turn around, what is the worst away record in the division? They've played nine this season. They've only picked up one point, drawn 1, lost eight. They've conceded 25 goals in the process, which is an awful record. And at the other end they've scored only four. Now their only point on the road came at Southampton which actually in isolation, isn't a bad result given how well the Saints are going this season, but they've since lost at Sheffield Wednesday, we know how much they're struggling, Watford and Hull, conceding 11 goals in the process over those three matches so Birmingham to win in this one. I just can't see how Rotherham are gonna turn around that horrendous away record and let's make it a treble of home wins cause I'm also backing Hull City to pick up a home victory as they take on Watford. Hull’s home record this year has been really, really good under Liam Rosenior they've picked up 4 wins and four draws with only one defeat from those nine matches. They've also won three in a row at the MKM Stadium, Preston, Huddersfield and Rotherham. The three sides to leave Humberside empty handed in recent weeks and in fact the only team to beat Liam Rosenior’s outfit over the last six matches at all venues are West Brom and we know that West Brom are on a brilliant run at the moment.
So for this weekend in the championship, all of them home games, all of them home wins, Ipswich to be Coventry, Birmingham to beat Rotherham and Hull to beat Watford.


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