"Spain v Georgia - obvious on the outrights, though I’m not expecting a scoreline as high as the 7-1 we saw 2 months ago. Look out for the cards here. A much more lenient ref handed out 7 yellows when they last met. This official, Ovidiu Hațegan has only officiated 15 matches that I can find since the start of 2022, but in those 15 games, he’s handed out 7 red cards. There have been 4 reds in his last 7 international matches too, so anything bigger than 6/4, that’s 1.5 in decimal, on a red card is worth looking at. Also, Georgia scored in their last meeting, they’ve 11 goals in their 7 qualifiers despite being second-bottom in the table. SkyBet give 11/4 - 2.75 - on Spain to win and both teams to score.

Also in that group, Scotland host Norway. Fun fact; they’ve met 14 times - and the nominal home side has only one twice. Their first meeting in 1978 and a 4-0 Norway win in 2009. Scotland are in the 2nd and final qualifying position in the table, but have slipped up with just a point in their last two. 3rd-placed Norway realistically need to win this. 23/10 - or 3.3 - is big on Norway. Yes, Haaland’s ankle got a knock in their last match. Yes, I do expect him to play.

Elsewhere,
The cornerstone of any acca should be Serbia - who are quite capable of knocking 3 or 4 past a genuinely terrible Bulgaria side. Sweden to beat Estonia is another short-price value booster.
Montenegro to get a draw in Hungary at 27/10 - 3.7 - is too big.

My favourite bet is Slovakia to win in Bosnia. Bosnia lost 4-1 in Luxembourg on Thursday. shouldn’t be the favourites at home to a side that’s already guaranteed to finish 2nd in the group. Bosnia beat Iceland in March and have 2 unconvincing wins over pointless Liechtenstein, but they’ve lost every other match. Slovakia, who’ve only lost to group winners Portugal in this campaign, are a big 9/5, 1.8 with Paddy Power, making Slovakia my nap this Sunday.

Slovakia, Serbia, Sweden, Norway, a draw in the Hungary match and back cards between Spain and Georgia. Whatever you bet on, gamble responsibly and good luck."